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Liverpool vs Brighton Premier League Preview, Betting Tips, Team News & Predictions – 30/11/19


Liverpool’s attention is back on the league following a disappointing draw at home with Napoli in the Champions League. That draw means the Reds will need to get a result in their final group game, something they were hoping to avoid. On the home front, however, they are looking to make it five Premier League wins on the bounce.

Brighton will be banking on a fatigued Liverpool side to turn out on Saturday if they are to have any chance of taking points south. The Seagulls have only scored once against the league leaders in their last four meetings, and have gone on to lose all those games.

Find out where we see the betting value for this match with our preview below.

Liverpool celebrate a goal

Liverpool vs Brighton – Premier League 2019/20

Where to Watch

Venue: Anfield

Date: 30/11/2019

Kick Off Time: 15:00 GMT

Referee in Charge: Martin Atkinson

TV Channel / Live Stream: As this is a 15.00 GMT kick-off it won’t be shown live on UK television. You can watch extended highlights of the game on Match of the Day at 22.45 GMT on BBC1 or iplayer.

Liverpool vs Brighton – The Form Guide

Liverpool are unbeaten in the Premier League after 13 games, winning 12 of those along the way. They have an eight-point lead over nearest rivals Leicester, and nine over current champions Manchester City. Although they have been winning, there have been some scrappy affairs. In fact, in seven of their 12 wins they have won by a one-goal margin. This includes the 2-1 win over Crystal Palace last weekend.

Jurgen Klopp faces a tough December schedule, with 12 games being played in 36 days (including the Napoli game). This also includes a Merseyside derby mid next week and a tricky trip away to Leicester. Given the fact that they have not yet qualified for the Champions League makes it all the more difficult. The Reds now travel to Salzburg on the 10th December needing at least a draw to progress.

In contrast, Brighton face only seven games in the same period having been knocked out the EFL Cup back in September. Their only focus is on the league at the moment. The Seagulls are having an okay season, perhaps as predicted. They currently occupy 12th spot in the table having picked up 15 points from the opening 13 games. Weirdly, they find themselves in the exact same position as they were last season at this time with four wins, three draws, and six losses.

The Seagulls looked as though they might be moving up the table when they put together a run of three wins in four games recently. However, the winning streak didn’t last long and they have lost their last two games away to Manchester United 3-1 and 2-0 at home to Leicester. During the latter, Brighton failed to register a single shot on target the entire game.

What is the Team News?

Young Irish striker Aaron Connolly is a doubt for the game. He is still recovering from a groin strain he picked up in his sides 3-1 defeat away to Manchester United.

Graham Potter could also be without Brazilian Bernardo who has been struggling with a knee injury.

Finally, winger Jose Izquierdo is ruled out with a knee injury and it is not clear when he may make a return.

Klopp was left sweating after star midfielder Fabinho had to be substituted in less than 20 minutes in Wednesday night’s Champions League clash. He was set to miss this game through suspension so won’t be missed here, but Liverpool fans will be hoping it’s nothing serious.

Nathaniel Clyne and Joel Matip remain sidelined with knee injuries. Neither have a return date set.

Xherdan Shaqiri could make the bench if he is deemed fit enough following a calf injury. He is unlikely however to break into the starting 11 at the weekend.

Trent Alexander-Arnold was given a rest mid-week but with Joe Gomez not making much of an impact in the game is expected to start.

Mohammed Salah made his return to the starting line-up for the first time in a few weeks against Napoli but did look short of match fitness.

Predicted Line-Ups

Liverpool Predicted line-up: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Lovren, Van Dijk, Robertson; Oxlade-Chamberlain, Henderson, Wijnaldum; Salah, Mane, Firmino

Brighton Predicted line-up: Ryan, Montoya, Duffy, Balogun, Burn, Stephens, Propper, Trossard, Alzate, Maupay, Murray

Liverpool vs Brighton Latest Odds

It is a tall order to ask Brighton to come to Anfield and take any points, especially in Liverpool’s current form. All betting success is likely to come from bets on Liverpool winning. The straight win for Liverpool is priced at 1/6 (1.17) while Brighton are a huge 14/1 (15.0) to claim victory.

Paddy Power have the draw at a middle of the road 11/2 (6.5).

Liverpool vs Brighton Score Prediction

The Reds are scoring plenty of goals at the moment, averaging an impressive 2.33 per game. On the other hand, this weekend’s opponents are only bagging 1.25. In the last four meetings between the two Liverpool have been victorious; although only winning the last two 1-0, the aggregate for the four games is 11-1.

On that basis, we fancy a few goals from the home side. We’re tipping an easy 3-0 win to Liverpool with odds of 6/1 at Paddy Power.

Liverpool vs Brighton Betting Tip

The only doubt is that Liverpool may be starting to feel the burden of competing for several trophies. As we’re not long into their monster run however, they should have enough in the tank to see this tie off as a routine win.

As mentioned, all bettors should be looking to Liverpool win markets. Although 1/6 (1.17) isn’t very appealing in terms of potential returns there are a couple of markets that catch the eye. For example, as we expect goals, Liverpool to win by exactly two goals at 13/5 (3.6) could be a decent shout.

In saying that, we prefer the look of Liverpool to win with a -2 handicap at 17/10 (2.7). This is because if Salah finds form we could be in for more of a goal-fest.

Best bet: Liverpool to win with a -2 handicap at 17/10 (2.7) with Paddy Power.