Well, well, well, could this be Liverpool's year? Last year's runners-up stunned Manchester City yesterday with a thrilling 3-1 win and for many are now uncatchable at the top. The Reds are playing with confidence and they are starting to look like champions.
Manchester City put up a good fight at Anfield in what was a very entertaining game. Pep and his team have it all to do with Liverpool now nine points ahead of them. It’s hard to imagine Klopp and his men will be beaten three times before the end of the season. Can Manchester City rescue their season and where is the value in the long term markets now?
Liverpool Odds On Favourites to Win the Premier League 2019/20
Following Sunday’s victory, Liverpool’s short odds have been slashed further into 2/5 from 4/5 with Bet365. This is a reflection of how good this Liverpool side is. The Reds started the season as second favourites with City leading the betting, but after only 12 games this has been turned on its head.
Manchester City has been pushed out to 9/4, with some bookmakers as high as 5/2. City find themselves in unfamiliar territory under Guardiola sitting fourth in the table. They need to improve if they want to retain the title.
Liverpool v Manchester City Key Facts
This was the match of the season so far. Not just because of the quality on show, but because what was at stake. The season has a long way to go but if Liverpool winning this was a real statement.
Pep Guardiola bemoaned the officials' decisions both during and after the match. He claimed his side deserved two penalties. The first incident was the most contentious; while the City players protested for handball, Liverpool skipped up to the other end and Fabinho fired home a rocket for the opener. The question over whether the goal would have counted had VAR decided it should have been a penalty is a big one. It will be discussed by pundits for a long time, at least until the law on handball and VAR is made clearer. We can understand both sides, but the law itself needs to be less ambiguous.
VAR aside, it was a great game of football. City held 55% of possession and had more attempts on goals than Liverpool, 18 to 12. The Reds were more clinical though. They scored three from five on target, while City managed only three attempts on Alisson’s goal. City were considered Liverpool's biggest threat this season and a result of the weekends win, The Reds odds are being slashed. They are now 7/1 (8.0) to go through the entire season undefeated with Bet365. And, if you think they’ll win the league by 10 points or more, you can take 12/1 (13.0) on the same site.
Premier League outright winner betting markets
As things stand in the betting, this is Liverpool's title to lose. This is how the top 10 in the betting currently look:
|Manchester City||9/4 (3.25)|
|Man United||500/1 (501)|
Premier League Winners Outside chance odds
We shouldn’t, of course, overlook Chelsea and Leicester. Both of these sides have been something of the league's dark horses. They have been putting in great performances week-in, week-out with Chelsea the only team in the league to win five from their last five. In fact, the blues have won six in a row in the league for the first time since their 2016/17 title-winning season. Frank Lampard’s young team face Manchester City next and could inflict further pain if they bring their A-game.
Likewise, Leicester are on a great run. They have won six from their last seven with only an unfortunate 2-1 defeat to league leaders Liverpool. They convincingly beat Arsenal at the weekend and have a decent run of games against the leagues bottom teams.
Premier League Top Four Finish Odds
Often you can find a decent bit of value somewhere in the top four markets, but this year could be an exception. The current top four are all odds to remain there until the end of the season and its hard to pick the best of the rest form the remainder of the table. New boys Sheffield United are occupying fifth place, but are unlikely going to be able to challenge the big boys for much longer. Wolverhampton haven’t being playing their best so there is room for improvement from them, but with a nine pop gap between them and City we can’t see it.
Arsenal and Manchester United will have to make do with a lower league finish this season it seems. Unai Emery is under immense pressure with Ole Gunnar Solskjær barely hanging on at United.
Premier League Top Six Finish Odds
With the top four all but sorted, looking at the top six could be the way to go. Manchester United at 10/11 (1.9) feels far too short to touch, but Arsenal at 4/5 (1.8) is slightly more appealing. The Gunners, despite their recent form, have a good side. When their forwards are clicking, they can be unplayable.
Interestingly, Wolves are 6/1. They could be the ones to steam in ahead of the struggling big names, and we think at this price, it is certainly worth a punt.
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