The 128th Second City Derby is upon us. Aston Villa travel to St Andrews on Sunday to face a Birmingham City side who are two points above them in the race for a playoff spot. It’s three draws in a row for the Blues against their rivals at home. Will it be four in a row or can one side ruin the others chances of promotion?
Birmingham City vs Aston Villa
Venue: St Andrews
Date: 10 March 2019
Kick-off Time: 12:00 GMT
Referee: Tim Robinson
Where to Watch: Sky Sports Football and Sky Sports Main Event. Top bookies in the UK may offer live streaming via their site too if you've got a bet on the match.
Match Odds and Form Guide
The bookies can’t separate them. Birmingham have been priced up at 7/4 to win this one, with Aston Villa at 23/10. The draw is available at 31/20.
Blues fans won’t appreciate the man in charge on Sunday. The card happy official has been in charge of three games involving Birmingham so far this season, and he’s got a few decisions wrong. He incorrectly sent off midfield Maikel Kieftenbeld against Brentford. The decision was later overturned on appeal, but that obviously doesn’t help.
Referee news aside, Garry Monk’s side need to bounce back from their 2-0 away defeat at Hull sharpish if they’re to realise their playoff dreams. And it would be a dream to most. Not a lot of Blues fans expected them to be fighting for a playoff place this season, although they’ve only won one of their last five at home in the league, so their home form will need to improve.
In contrast, Aston Villa fans still have smiles on their faces after their side hammered promotion-chasing Derby 4-0 last weekend. Jack Grealish scored an absolute worldie that day too. However, it’s three draws and two defeats in their last five away games in the Championship for Villa, so they will need to improve to get anything out of Sunday’s clash.
Team News – Injuries and Suspensions
Garry Monk has confirmed that Maxime Colin will miss the derby with a hamstring strain. Wes Harding will probably get the nod in his place. Charlie Lakin and Marc Roberts are back in training, but this match will come too soon for both men. Gary Gardner is, of course, on loan from Villa, so he won’t feature due to the terms of his loan agreement.
As for Villa, well, their injury list is pretty lengthy. Orjan Nyland, Axel Tuanzebe, Tommy Elphick, James Chester, Alan Hutton, Henri Lansbury. They will all miss Sunday’s match due to injury, but there is some good news for Dean Smith. John McGinn is back from suspension.
Birmingham City Predicted XI: Camp, Harding, Morrison, Dean, Pedersen, Jota, Kieftenbeld, C Gardner, Maghoma, Adams, Lutkiewicz
Aston Villa Predicted XI: Steer, Elmohamady, Ming, Taylor, Hause, Hourihane, Whelan, Grealish, Carroll, El Ghazi, Abraham
Match Tickets – How to Buy
For all ticket availability and price info, check out Birmingham City’s website for more details.
Betting Odds and Tips
Birmingham City to Win – 7/4
Draw – 31/20
Aston Villa to Win – 23/10
First Goalscorer Odds
Che Adams – 9/2
Lukas Jutkiewicz – 13/2
Craig Gardner – 16/1
Tammy Abraham – 4/1
Anwar El Ghazi – 8/1
Jack Grealish – 10/1
1-2. The place will be rocking on Sunday and there’s a lot at stake. Villa will be full of confidence after their thumping 4-0 win against Derby, and their strikeforce is arguably the best in the division when they’re having a good day. The home side are capable of scoring, but I think the away side might edge it.
Both teams to score at 10/13 looks a good bet. The reverse fixture ended 4-2 to Aston Villa, and although the stats suggest it could be a low scoring one, it’s a derby. It will be feisty and there should be goals.
Key Facts and Stats
- Aston Villa haven’t lost any of their last seven meetings with Birmingham.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in five of Villa’s last six away games in the league.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in the last three games between the two sides at St Andrews.
- Birmingham haven’t won a league game against Aston Villa for 14 years.