Liverpool welcome Burnley to Anfield on Sunday aiming to make it 36 Premier League home games without defeat. The Clarets seem to like playing on a Sunday recently, though and have won two of their last three matches played on the day. Can Sean Dyche mastermind a shock?
Liverpool vs Burnley
Premier League 2018-19
Date: 10 March 2019
Kick-off: 12:00 GMT
Referee: Andre Marriner
Where to Watch: The match is live on BT Sport 1 and BT Sport 4K UHD
The Reds have not lost to Burnley at home since 1974, and it’ll take a monumental effort to change that statistic this weekend. The Clarets have only picked up four points in the Premier League against Liverpool both at home and away, but they will, at the very least, be encouraged by the draw they managed in this exact fixture last season.
Liverpool vs Burnley – What are the Betting Odds?
Liverpool are huge favourites with the bookies to win here at 2/11. Burnley are 20/1 to shock the title challengers, with the draw priced up at 13/2. Let’s be honest, it should be a walk in the park for Jurgen Klopp’s men. Having said that, Mo Salah’s been off the boil recently, and another poor display might give Burnley hope.
Burnley always seem to find a way to score against Liverpool as it’s been four years since the Reds manage to shut them out. However, Alisson is having an incredible season and is on the verge of the Golden Glove in his first full season. Another clean sheet here is a distinct possibility. Liverpool to win to nil is available at 5/6. Take it, it’s a great price.
What are the Goalscorer Odds?
Everyone loves a bet on a goalscorer. It’s where the decent prices are for those who want a good return. Mo Salah has been pretty average over the last three Premier League games, but surely his luck is going to change on Sunday? It’s not against a big club this time after all. If you’ve seen the stats of his goals and assists against bigger clubs over recent weeks, you’ll know what I mean here.
Mo Salah is available at odds of 13/5 to net the opener this weekend, 8/15 anytime. Steer clear of the anytime goalscorer price, that’s way too short. Sadio Mane could be the better option anytime at 5/6, but again, that’s not great value at odds on.
Prefer to think Burnley might sneak a goal early? Chris Wood’s priced up at 16/1 to score first, which isn’t bad. Burnley certainly have a chance from set pieces.
If you do, however, expect Liverpool to run away with it, consider the 16/5 on Salah to score to or more. He’s due a good game. You can’t keep a great player down for long.
Now, this market has some great odds. 2-0 Liverpool? 6/1. 3-0? 13/2. Four? 9/1. Both teams have found the net in each of the last four meetings between the sides, so a 3-1 or 4-1 home win seems more likely. 3-1 is at 12s, and you can get 16/1 on it to end 4-1. Some punters love better on five or six when it’s a game like this. However, it’s worth noting here that Liverpool have a huge game in midweek against Bayern Munich, so may well make some early substitutions if their coasting. Don’t rush in on fives and sixes.
Most people in the footballing world expect Liverpool to win easily. If you’re one of those who feels the same way, consider backing Liverpool in the Asian Handicap market. The Reds -1.75 are available at 3/5, with -2.25 at Evens if you want a slightly better price. Bear in mind, though, that you only win on -2.25 if Liverpool are victorious by three or more. You lose half if they win by just two.
I fully expect Liverpool to win this. They’ll want to start quickly, build a comfortable lead so that they can ideally rest a few legs ahead of the Bayern match. With that in mind, Liverpool/Liverpool in the half-time/full-time market looks a banker at 8/13.
If I was pushed for a full-time score. 3-0 to the home side, with Salah amongst the scorers.
There’s plenty of so-called easy bets to grab here, but you aren’t going to see a decent return. For a little bit of value, Liverpool to win both halves at 11/10 is worth taking on.