There’s a huge derby this Saturday lunchtime as Crystal Palace welcome rivals Brighton to Selhurst Park looking for the three points that would pretty much preserve their Premier League status for at least another season. If Chris Hughton’s side fail to get anything from this match, they’ll be looking nervously over their shoulders with just nine games to go.
Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League 2018-19
Venue: Selhurst Park
Date: 09 March 2019
Kick-off: 12:30 GMT
Referee: Craig Pawson
TV Channel: Watch the action Live on Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports Main Event, and Sky Sports Ultra HD
It was Brighton who came out on top at the AMEX before Christmas, running out impressive 3-1 winners. They’re clear outsiders this weekend, though, at 4/1. Palace have been priced up as odds on favourites at 5/6, with the draw on offer at odds of 5/2.
Wilfried Zaha is hitting a bit of form again, scoring five goals and assisting one in his last six games. He’s also scored five goals in nine appearances against the Seagulls, so don’t be surprised to see his name on the scoresheet on Saturday. Looking at the Brighton forwards, Glenn Murray is the obvious choice for a goal. He’s scored in his last three games against Palace.
Here are some first goalscorer odds to look out for this weekend:
Zaha – 11/2
Batshuayi – 5/1
Milivojevic – 13/2
Murray – 13/2
Gross – 16/1
March – 18/1
Total Goals Over/Under
The last three meetings between the two sides in all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored. If you fancy another goal fest, over 2.5 goals is available at a tempting 11/10, whereas the braver punters may consider over 3.5 goals at odds of 3/1.
However, this fixture has been known to throw up a few 0-0s. Two of the last six meetings have ended goalless. Under 0.5 goals is priced up at 7/1 if you think it’ll be a feisty affair with very few clear-cut chances.
Crystal Palace vs Brighton – The Head to Head Record
It’s a complete mix bag in all honesty. As with any derby, anything can happen. Let’s take the last 10 meetings for example. Four Palace wins, three Brighton wins, and three draws. However, you do have to go way back to 2005 to find the last time Brighton won at Selhurst Park, so the odds on an away win are probably fair. The h2h stats are probably not worth looking at from a betting perspective when it comes to derbies. Not in this fixture anyway.
Team News – Injuries, Suspensions and Predicted Line-Ups
Palace will be missing Mamadou Sakho as he’s struggling with a knee injury picked up in last month’s win against Leicester. The game will also come too soon for Papa Soure, but the good news is that Aaron Wan-Bissaka felt great on his return last weekend against Burnley, which is tremendous news for the run-in.
The visitors, Brighton, may well name the same starting eleven from the Huddersfield win. Pascal Gross will be absent again a hamstring injury. You can’t rush those. If Chris Hughton was to make any changes, he may look to Florin And one and Jose Izquierdo after both impressed from the bench last time out.
Crystal Palace Predicted XI: Guaita, Wan-Bissaka, Tomkins, Dann, van Aanholt, Kouyate, Milivojevic, Meyer, Townsend, Zaha, Batshuayi
Brighton Predicted XI: Ryan, Montoya, Dunk, Duffy, Bernardo, Bissouma, Stephens, Propper, March, Izquierdo, Murray
2-1. Palace are much improved in recent weeks, picking up three wins from their last five league games. They do struggle to keep a clean sheet, though, and have conceded in each of their last four games. Brighton know what this game means and will not be sitting back for a draw as they’ll be desperate for a win to climb away from the relegation zone. However, they’ve only won twice away from home in the Premier League since November 2017 and may fall short once again on Saturday.
An early Saturday kick-off. A derby. So much to play for. Expect goals. Over 2.5 goals in this one looks a decent price at 11/10.
Match Facts, Stats, and Insights
- Palace have lost just once in nine home matches against Brighton
- Brighton have not done the league double over their rivals since the 1983-84 season
- Brighton are looking to win two league games in a row for the first time since December
- The Seagulls have lost on five of their last seven trips to London